Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Bruno Silva
Edgar Chairez
44%
56%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 6"
71"
36
Age
Δ 6y
30
15-9-2
Career record
Δ 12 pp
14-6
L1
Current streak
W2
11
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Silva: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Chairez: 24 sig / 0 TD
Bruno Silva
Edgar Chairez
37
Sig strikes landed
50
82
Sig strikes attempted
96
48
Total strikes landed
49
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.9
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
123s
Control time
68s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Bruno Silva
"Bulldog"
15-9-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
11 fights · 5-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Val…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. …
—
L
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Mall…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
Blue corner
W2
Edgar Chairez
"Puro Chicali"
14-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kav…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
—
L
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
L
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—