Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Tommy Gantt
Artur Minev
58%
42%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 7"
70"
33
Age
Δ 11y
23
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Gantt: 28 sig / 6 TD ·
Minev: 8 sig / 0 TD
Tommy Gantt
Artur Minev
38
Sig strikes landed
34
74
Sig strikes attempted
75
77
Total strikes landed
41
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
156s
Control time
103s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Tommy Gantt
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner
Artur Minev
"Headhunter"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23