Back to UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Shauna Bannon
Nicolle Caliari
48% 52%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 3"
62"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30
7-4
Career record
Δ 1 pp
9-5
L1
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Bannon: 29 sig / 0 TD · Caliari: 20 sig / 4 TD
Shauna Bannon
Nicolle Caliari
56
Sig strikes landed
54
126
Sig strikes attempted
126
76
Total strikes landed
82
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
92s
Control time
213s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Shauna Bannon

"Mama B"
7-4
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
W UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
L UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
Blue corner
L2

Nicolle Caliari

9-5
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
—