🏆 Title fight
Main
Light Heavyweight
Jiri Prochazka vs Carlos Ulberg
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
·Kaseya Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jiri Prochazka
Carlos Ulberg
87%
13%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
34
Age
Δ 2y
35
33-6-1
Career record
Δ 12 pp
16-1
W2
Current streak
W8
8
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Prochazka: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Ulberg: 27 sig / 0 TD
Jiri Prochazka
Carlos Ulberg
63
Sig strikes landed
71
139
Sig strikes attempted
129
85
Total strikes landed
90
0.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
55s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jiri Prochazka
33-6-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
—
W
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
L
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
L
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
—
Blue corner
W8
Carlos Ulberg
"Black Jag"
16-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 9-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Rey…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—