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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Jamie Siraj vs John Yannis

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott ·Canada Life Centre

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Jamie Siraj
John Yannis
64% 36%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
32
Age
32
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Siraj: 6 sig / 0 TD · Yannis: 21 sig / 0 TD
Jamie Siraj
John Yannis
39
Sig strikes landed
43
72
Sig strikes attempted
108
52
Total strikes landed
48
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.9
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
171s
Control time
37s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jamie Siraj

"The Gremlin"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
L1

John Yannis

10-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
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