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Main Flyweight

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel vs Terrance Saeteurn

UFC - Road to UFC 4.6 ·Shanghai Indoor Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
Terrance Saeteurn
71% 29%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Tumendemberel: 11 sig / 2 TD · Saeteurn: 11 sig / 0 TD
Nyamjargal Tumendemberel
Terrance Saeteurn
36
Sig strikes landed
42
84
Sig strikes attempted
79
49
Total strikes landed
47
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
88s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Nyamjargal Tumendemberel

"Art of Knockout"
10-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
Blue corner

Terrance Saeteurn

"Wrong Turn"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30