Main
Middleweight
Roman Dolidze vs Christian Leroy Duncan
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Roman Dolidze
Christian Leroy Duncan
38%
62%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
38
Age
Δ 7y
31
15-6
Career record
Δ 17 pp
15-2
L1
Current streak
W3
13
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dolidze: 10 sig / 3 TD ·
Duncan: 54 sig / 0 TD
Roman Dolidze
Christian Leroy Duncan
43
Sig strikes landed
49
87
Sig strikes attempted
101
51
Total strikes landed
62
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
127s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Roman Dolidze
15-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
Blue corner
W3
Christian Leroy Duncan
"CLD"
15-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Bro…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—
L
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—