Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Piera Rodriguez
Sam Hughes
68%
32%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
33
Age
Δ 0y
34
13-2
Career record
Δ 24 pp
12-7
W2
Current streak
W3
6
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rodriguez: 107 sig / 1 TD ·
Hughes: 77 sig / 0 TD
Piera Rodriguez
Sam Hughes
58
Sig strikes landed
57
130
Sig strikes attempted
132
85
Total strikes landed
82
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.1
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
152s
Control time
196s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Piera Rodriguez
"La Fiera"
13-2
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
Blue corner
W3
Sam Hughes
"Sampage"
12-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Bor…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Roy…
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—