Main
Women's Strawweight
Amanda Lemos vs Gillian Robertson
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Amanda Lemos
Gillian Robertson
42%
58%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 2"
63"
39
Age
Δ 8y
31
15-7-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
18-8
L1
Current streak
W4
14
UFC fights in our DB
19
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lemos: 42 sig / 1 TD ·
Robertson: 12 sig / 3 TD
Amanda Lemos
Gillian Robertson
32
Sig strikes landed
46
54
Sig strikes attempted
69
55
Total strikes landed
72
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.6
0.4
Takedowns attempted
6.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
85s
Control time
248s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
41%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Amanda Lemos
15-7-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
39
In our database
14 fights · 9-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
—
W
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jand…
—
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
Blue corner
W4
Gillian Robertson
"The Savage"
18-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
19 fights · 13-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
W
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—