Main
Middleweight
Sean Strickland vs Anthony Hernandez
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
·Toyota Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sean Strickland
Anthony Hernandez
76%
24%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
35
Age
Δ 3y
32
31-8
Career record
Δ 5 pp
16-3
L1
Current streak
W8
23
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Strickland: 110 sig / 0 TD ·
Hernandez: 55 sig / 0 TD
Sean Strickland
Anthony Hernandez
122
Sig strikes landed
92
270
Sig strikes attempted
179
125
Total strikes landed
126
0.4
Takedowns landed
3.2
0.8
Takedowns attempted
16.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
49s
Control time
322s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Sean Strickland
31-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
23 fights · 16-7
Last 5
L
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
—
W
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
Blue corner
W8
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
16-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
11 fights · 9-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. He…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—