Back to UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Sulangrangbo vs Lawrence Lui

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 ·Qudos Bank Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Sulangrangbo
Lawrence Lui
62% 38%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 6"
72"
20
Age
Δ 9y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Sulangrangbo: 56 sig / 0 TD · Lui: 52 sig / 7 TD
Sulangrangbo
Lawrence Lui
37
Sig strikes landed
37
75
Sig strikes attempted
68
54
Total strikes landed
51
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Sulangrangbo

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
21
Blue corner

Lawrence Lui

"Lok Yin"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30