Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Tereza Bleda
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Tereza Bleda
34%
66%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 5"
71"
36
Age
Δ 12y
24
10-3
Career record
Δ 3 pp
8-2
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Horth: 16 sig / 0 TD ·
Bleda: 2 sig / 0 TD
Jamey-Lyn Horth
Tereza Bleda
47
Sig strikes landed
39
93
Sig strikes attempted
91
81
Total strikes landed
82
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
194s
Control time
276s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jamey-Lyn Horth
10-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buck…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
Blue corner
W1
Tereza Bleda
8-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—