Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Freddy Vidal
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
49%
51%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
31
Age
Δ 2y
29
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Vidal: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Rodrigues Jr.: 15 sig / 0 TD
Freddy Vidal
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
30
Sig strikes landed
28
70
Sig strikes attempted
50
48
Total strikes landed
67
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
206s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Freddy Vidal
"The Barbarian"
5-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DWCS 9.5
—
Blue corner
Levi Rodrigues Jr.
"Baby Monster"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29