Back to UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Prelims1 Heavyweight

Marek Bujlo vs Denzel Freeman

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker ·ABHA Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Marek Bujlo
Denzel Freeman
58% 42%
Why
77"
Reach
77"
33
Age
Δ 1y
34

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bujlo: 31 sig / 0 TD · Freeman: 49 sig / 0 TD
Marek Bujlo
Denzel Freeman
33
Sig strikes landed
33
65
Sig strikes attempted
64
46
Total strikes landed
47
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.0
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
136s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Marek Bujlo

"Bujdzilla"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner

Denzel Freeman

"Luke Fox"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34