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Main Bantamweight

Macksom Lee vs Hecher Sosa

DWCS 9.6 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Macksom Lee
Hecher Sosa
51% 49%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lee: 13 sig / 0 TD · Sosa: 32 sig / 4 TD
Macksom Lee
Hecher Sosa
37
Sig strikes landed
35
79
Sig strikes attempted
67
50
Total strikes landed
52
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
89s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Macksom Lee

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Hecher Sosa

"Guanche Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30