Back to DWCS 9.5
Main Women's Strawweight

Shanelle Dyer vs Carol Foro

DWCS 9.5 ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Shanelle Dyer
Carol Foro
60% 40%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 4"
62"
24
Age
Δ 4y
28

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dyer: 115 sig / 0 TD · Foro: 117 sig / 0 TD
Shanelle Dyer
Carol Foro
38
Sig strikes landed
35
87
Sig strikes attempted
77
64
Total strikes landed
68
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
0.7
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
138s
Control time
184s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Shanelle Dyer

"The Nightmare"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner

Carol Foro

"Anabelle"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29