Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jack Congdon
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
53%
47%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
28
Age
Δ 2y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Congdon: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Lebosnoyani: 11 sig / 0 TD
Jack Congdon
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
35
Sig strikes landed
35
77
Sig strikes attempted
73
50
Total strikes landed
54
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
166s
Control time
202s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jack Congdon
".50 Cal"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
Blue corner
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
"Mufasa"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
27