Main
Bantamweight
Charles Jourdain vs Davey Grant
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
·Rogers Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Charles Jourdain
Davey Grant
71%
29%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
30
Age
Δ 10y
40
19-8-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
19-8
W1
Current streak
W2
15
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Jourdain: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Grant: 9 sig / 0 TD
Charles Jourdain
Davey Grant
82
Sig strikes landed
78
163
Sig strikes attempted
166
97
Total strikes landed
85
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
84s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Charles Jourdain
"Air"
19-8-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
15 fights · 7-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Alb…
—
L
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
L
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Ples…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
Blue corner
W2
Davey Grant
"Dangerous"
19-8
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—