Prelims1
Middleweight
Ateba Gautier vs Tre'ston Vines
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ateba Gautier
Tre'ston Vines
73%
27%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 2"
80"
24
Age
Δ 6y
29
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Gautier: 6 sig / 1 TD ·
Vines: 0 sig / 0 TD
Ateba Gautier
Tre'ston Vines
33
Sig strikes landed
21
70
Sig strikes attempted
35
41
Total strikes landed
30
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
0.5
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
79s
Control time
69s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ateba Gautier
"The Storm"
12-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
81"
Stance
Switch
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erc…
—
Blue corner
Tre'ston Vines
"TVTime"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29