Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Brando Pericic
Elisha Ellison
60%
40%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
31
Age
Δ 3y
29
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pericic: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Ellison: 3 sig / 0 TD
Brando Pericic
Elisha Ellison
34
Sig strikes landed
31
67
Sig strikes attempted
62
47
Total strikes landed
45
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
0.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
136s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Brando Pericic
"The Balkan Bear"
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
Elisha Ellison
"The Snack Panther"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29