Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Loma Lookboonmee vs Alexia Thainara
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
·RAC Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Loma Lookboonmee
Alexia Thainara
31%
69%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 6"
67"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
11-5
Career record
Δ 25 pp
15-1
W4
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lookboonmee: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
Thainara: 44 sig / 5 TD
Loma Lookboonmee
Alexia Thainara
29
Sig strikes landed
27
53
Sig strikes attempted
70
38
Total strikes landed
58
0.3
Takedowns landed
2.3
0.5
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.00
Knockdowns
0.00
67s
Control time
284s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
64%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Loma Lookboonmee
11-5
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Mur…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
Blue corner
W1
Alexia Thainara
"Burguesinha"
15-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—