Back to DWCS 9.3
Main Heavyweight

Donte Johnson vs Darion Abbey

DWCS 9.3 ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Donte Johnson
Darion Abbey
74% 26%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
80"
27
Age
Δ 6y
32

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Johnson: 15 sig / 0 TD · Abbey: 9 sig / 0 TD
Donte Johnson
Darion Abbey
32
Sig strikes landed
33
57
Sig strikes attempted
68
73
Total strikes landed
51
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.1
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
174s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Donte Johnson

"Lock Jaw"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
Blue corner

Darion Abbey

0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33