Back to DWCS 9.3
Main Middleweight

Trent Miller vs Ryan Gandra

DWCS 9.3 ·Meta Apex
Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Trent Miller
Ryan Gandra
51% 49%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Miller: 6 sig / 0 TD · Gandra: 32 sig / 0 TD
Trent Miller
Ryan Gandra
32
Sig strikes landed
38
65
Sig strikes attempted
79
46
Total strikes landed
54
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
117s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Trent Miller

"The Terminator"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Ryan Gandra

"Problema"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30