Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Josh Hokit
Guilherme Uriel
71%
29%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
74"
28
Age
Δ 1y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hokit: 27 sig / 6 TD ·
Uriel: 7 sig / 0 TD
Josh Hokit
Guilherme Uriel
35
Sig strikes landed
32
69
Sig strikes attempted
65
76
Total strikes landed
46
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
169s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Josh Hokit
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Guilherme Uriel
"Urso"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29