Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Tommy Cuozzi Jr.
Ramiro Jimenez
49%
51%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
26
Age
Δ 1y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cuozzi Jr.: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Jimenez: 41 sig / 1 TD
Tommy Cuozzi Jr.
Ramiro Jimenez
34
Sig strikes landed
35
70
Sig strikes attempted
74
47
Total strikes landed
75
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
119s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Tommy Cuozzi Jr.
"Little T"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
Ramiro Jimenez
"El Cachanilla"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27