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Main Featherweight

Manuel Exposito vs Jose Delano

DWCS 9.2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Manuel Exposito
Jose Delano
53% 47%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
25
Age
Δ 4y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Exposito: 38 sig / 2 TD · Delano: 146 sig / 0 TD
Manuel Exposito
Jose Delano
35
Sig strikes landed
41
74
Sig strikes attempted
83
51
Total strikes landed
56
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
129s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Manuel Exposito

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner

Jose Delano

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29