Back to DWCS 9.1
Main Middleweight

Ilian Bouafia vs Neemias Santana

DWCS 9.1 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Ilian Bouafia
Neemias Santana
66% 34%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bouafia: 30 sig / 0 TD · Santana: 25 sig / 0 TD
Ilian Bouafia
Neemias Santana
37
Sig strikes landed
33
75
Sig strikes attempted
65
71
Total strikes landed
45
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
151s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Ilian Bouafia

"The Gorilla"
0-0
Career record
Height
77"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
Blue corner

Neemias Santana

0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29