Main
Middleweight
Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
·Accor Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Nassourdine Imavov
Caio Borralho
54%
46%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
30
Age
Δ 3y
33
18-4
Career record
Δ 9 pp
19-2
W4
Current streak
W7
11
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Imavov: 81 sig / 0 TD ·
Borralho: 66 sig / 0 TD
Nassourdine Imavov
Caio Borralho
56
Sig strikes landed
55
117
Sig strikes attempted
111
71
Total strikes landed
80
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.9
Takedowns attempted
5.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
63s
Control time
192s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Nassourdine Imavov
"The Sniper"
18-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
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W
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L
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Blue corner
W7
Caio Borralho
"The Natural"
19-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
7 fights · 7-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
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W
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W
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