Back to UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Prelims1 Welterweight

Uros Medic vs Gilbert Urbina

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Uros Medic
Gilbert Urbina
68% 32%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
13-4
Career record
Δ 23 pp
7-6
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Medic: 5 sig / 0 TD · Urbina: 5 sig / 0 TD
Uros Medic
Gilbert Urbina
38
Sig strikes landed
27
53
Sig strikes attempted
58
46
Total strikes landed
32
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
84s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Uros Medic

"The Doctor"
13-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas…
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W UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
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L UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
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Blue corner
L1

Gilbert Urbina

"The RGV Bad Boy"
7-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—