Back to UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Gabriella Fernandes vs Julija Stoliarenko

UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Gabriella Fernandes
Julija Stoliarenko
69% 31%
Why
66"
Reach
66"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
12-4
Career record
Δ 29 pp
11-11-2
W2
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
8

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Fernandes: 59 sig / 0 TD · Stoliarenko: 61 sig / 0 TD
Gabriella Fernandes
Julija Stoliarenko
39
Sig strikes landed
35
72
Sig strikes attempted
79
62
Total strikes landed
56
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.2
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
115s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
40%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Gabriella Fernandes

"Gabi"
12-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
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W UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
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L UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
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L UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
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Blue corner
L1

Julija Stoliarenko

11-11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 8 fights · 2-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
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W UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. T…
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L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
—
W UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
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L UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
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