Main
Women's Strawweight
Iasmin Lucindo vs Angela Hill
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Iasmin Lucindo
Angela Hill
90%
10%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
24
Age
Δ 17y
41
18-7
Career record
Δ 16 pp
20-16
L1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lucindo: 72 sig / 3 TD ·
Hill: 64 sig / 0 TD
Iasmin Lucindo
Angela Hill
90
Sig strikes landed
67
197
Sig strikes attempted
132
129
Total strikes landed
93
5.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
6.4
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.30
Knockdowns
1.00
272s
Control time
262s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Iasmin Lucindo
18-7
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
W
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
—
W
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
20-16
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database
27 fights · 13-14
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—