Main
Middleweight
Roman Dolidze vs Anthony Hernandez
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Roman Dolidze
Anthony Hernandez
40%
60%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
37
Age
Δ 5y
32
16-5
Career record
Δ 8 pp
16-3
W3
Current streak
W7
12
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 4
Dolidze: 36 sig / 0 TD ·
Hernandez: 91 sig / 9 TD
Roman Dolidze
Anthony Hernandez
44
Sig strikes landed
60
95
Sig strikes attempted
110
52
Total strikes landed
90
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.3
3.5
Takedowns attempted
6.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
92s
Control time
233s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Roman Dolidze
16-5
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
12 fights · 9-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
—
W
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
L
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
Blue corner
W7
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
16-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. …
—
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—