Prelims1
Bantamweight
Xiao Long vs SuYoung You
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
·Shanghai Indoor Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Xiao Long
SuYoung You
74%
26%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 5"
65"
27
Age
Δ 2y
30
28-11
Career record
Δ 9 pp
17-4
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Long: 68 sig / 0 TD ·
You: 58 sig / 0 TD
Xiao Long
SuYoung You
41
Sig strikes landed
42
78
Sig strikes attempted
90
67
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
2.4
2.8
Takedowns attempted
6.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
142s
Control time
206s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Xiao Long
28-11
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
Blue corner
W2
SuYoung You
"Yoo-Jitsu"
17-4
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—