Main
Light Heavyweight
Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
·Shanghai Indoor Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Johnny Walker
Zhang Mingyang
50%
50%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 6"
76"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
22-11
Career record
Δ 5 pp
20-8
L2
Current streak
W3
14
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Walker: 50 sig / 0 TD ·
Mingyang: 20 sig / 0 TD
Johnny Walker
Zhang Mingyang
29
Sig strikes landed
33
75
Sig strikes attempted
60
41
Total strikes landed
40
0.1
Takedowns landed
0.3
0.6
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
51s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Johnny Walker
22-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
14 fights · 7-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. W…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
Blue corner
W3
Zhang Mingyang
"Mountain Tiger"
20-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
—
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—