Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Tatsuro Taira
HyunSung Park
82%
18%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
18-3
Career record
Δ 1 pp
11-2
L1
Current streak
W3
7
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Taira: 7 sig / 4 TD ·
Park: 3 sig / 0 TD
Tatsuro Taira
HyunSung Park
47
Sig strikes landed
25
85
Sig strikes attempted
62
68
Total strikes landed
37
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
4.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
228s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Tatsuro Taira
"The Best"
18-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Tai…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
—
Blue corner
W3
HyunSung Park
"Peace of Mind"
11-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Mora…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutie…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
—