Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Nick Klein
Andrey Pulyaev
48%
52%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
6-4
Career record
Δ 7 pp
10-5
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Klein: 10 sig / 4 TD ·
Pulyaev: 23 sig / 0 TD
Nick Klein
Andrey Pulyaev
29
Sig strikes landed
35
40
Sig strikes attempted
58
45
Total strikes landed
62
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
178s
Control time
185s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Nick Klein
"Blue Collar"
6-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
Blue corner
L1
Andrey Pulyaev
10-5
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Br…
—