Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Piera Rodriguez vs Ketlen Souza
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Piera Rodriguez
Ketlen Souza
56%
44%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 0"
63"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
13-2
Career record
Δ 17 pp
16-7
W1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Rodriguez: 64 sig / 7 TD ·
Souza: 56 sig / 0 TD
Piera Rodriguez
Ketlen Souza
41
Sig strikes landed
42
93
Sig strikes attempted
87
72
Total strikes landed
66
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
210s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Piera Rodriguez
"La Fiera"
13-2
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
Blue corner
L1
Ketlen Souza
"Esquentadinha"
16-7
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—