Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Lauren Murphy vs Eduarda Moura
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
·Bridgestone Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Lauren Murphy
Eduarda Moura
35%
65%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
42
Age
Δ 11y
31
16-8
Career record
Δ 20 pp
13-2
L1
Current streak
W1
14
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Murphy: 38 sig / 2 TD ·
Moura: 64 sig / 2 TD
Lauren Murphy
Eduarda Moura
52
Sig strikes landed
53
106
Sig strikes attempted
122
68
Total strikes landed
88
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.4
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
159s
Control time
198s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Lauren Murphy
"Lucky"
16-8
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
42
In our database
14 fights · 8-6
Last 5
L
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
L
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—
Blue corner
W1
Eduarda Moura
"Ronda"
13-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
—