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Derrick Lewis vs Tallison Teixeira

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira ·Bridgestone Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Derrick Lewis
Tallison Teixeira
53% 47%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 4"
83"
40
Age
Δ 15y
26
30-13
Career record
Δ 14 pp
10-2
W1
Current streak
W1
29
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Lewis: 9 sig / 0 TD · Teixeira: 3 sig / 0 TD
Derrick Lewis
Tallison Teixeira
22
Sig strikes landed
22
23
Sig strikes attempted
55
35
Total strikes landed
52
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.2
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.70
Knockdowns
0.50
213s
Control time
241s
Method
Decision
12%
KO/TKO
74%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Derrick Lewis

"The Black Beast"
30-13 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 29 fights · 19-10
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
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L UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Le…
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W UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
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L UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
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L UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
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Blue corner
W1

Tallison Teixeira

"Xicao"
10-2
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
83"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickl…
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