Back to UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
Prelims1 Welterweight

Muslim Salikhov vs Carlos Leal

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder ·Etihad Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Muslim Salikhov
Carlos Leal
35% 65%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
41
Age
Δ 10y
31
23-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
24-7
W2
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Salikhov: 3 sig / 0 TD · Leal: 5 sig / 0 TD
Muslim Salikhov
Carlos Leal
70
Sig strikes landed
54
147
Sig strikes attempted
119
84
Total strikes landed
76
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
80s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Muslim Salikhov

"King of Kung Fu"
23-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
41
In our database 12 fights · 8-4
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figuei…
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W UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
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L UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
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W UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
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Blue corner
W1

Carlos Leal

"The Lion"
24-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev
—
L UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—