Main
Middleweight
Robert Whittaker vs Reinier de Ridder
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Robert Whittaker
Reinier de Ridder
54%
46%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
35
Age
Δ 0y
35
27-10
Career record
Δ 12 pp
22-4
L1
Current streak
W3
23
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Whittaker: 66 sig / 0 TD ·
de Ridder: 67 sig / 2 TD
Robert Whittaker
Reinier de Ridder
42
Sig strikes landed
48
134
Sig strikes attempted
119
56
Total strikes landed
63
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.7
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
43s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Robert Whittaker
"The Reaper"
27-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
23 fights · 17-6
Last 5
L
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
W
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
—
L
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
Blue corner
W3
Reinier de Ridder
"RdR"
22-4
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—