Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jhonata Diniz
Alvin Hines
59%
41%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
34
Age
Δ 0y
34
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Diniz: 112 sig / 0 TD ·
Hines: 82 sig / 1 TD
Jhonata Diniz
Alvin Hines
33
Sig strikes landed
24
59
Sig strikes attempted
45
47
Total strikes landed
35
0.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
-0.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
35s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jhonata Diniz
9-3
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Pe…
—
Blue corner
Alvin Hines
"Goozie"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34