Back to Road to UFC 4.3 + 4.4
Main Bantamweight

Zhang Qinghe vs Lawrence Lui

Road to UFC 4.3 + 4.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Zhang Qinghe
Lawrence Lui
65% 35%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 5"
72"
24
Age
Δ 5y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Qinghe: 43 sig / 0 TD · Lui: 71 sig / 6 TD
Zhang Qinghe
Lawrence Lui
39
Sig strikes landed
37
78
Sig strikes attempted
73
55
Total strikes landed
45
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
136s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Zhang Qinghe

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24
Blue corner

Lawrence Lui

"Lok Yin"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29