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Yuji Ephoevi-Ga vs Dom Mar Fan

Road to UFC 4.3 + 4.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Yuji Ephoevi-Ga
Dom Mar Fan
66% 34%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
26
Age
Δ 0y
25

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ephoevi-Ga: 40 sig / 0 TD · Mar Fan: 39 sig / 2 TD
Yuji Ephoevi-Ga
Dom Mar Fan
37
Sig strikes landed
34
76
Sig strikes attempted
72
53
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
161s
Control time
108s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Yuji Ephoevi-Ga

"The Chef"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
Blue corner

Dom Mar Fan

"Street Buddha"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25