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Ren Yawei vs Deni Daffa

Road to UFC 4.3 + 4.4 ·UFC Performance Institute Shanghai
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Ren Yawei
Deni Daffa
56% 44%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 6"
74"
27
Age
Δ 2y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Yawei: 13 sig / 0 TD · Daffa: 7 sig / 0 TD
Ren Yawei
Deni Daffa
34
Sig strikes landed
36
71
Sig strikes attempted
79
49
Total strikes landed
48
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
156s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Ren Yawei

0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Deni Daffa

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26