Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kaiwen
DongHyun Seo
74%
26%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
30
Age
Δ 5y
35
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Kaiwen: 28 sig / 0 TD ·
Seo: 41 sig / 0 TD
Kaiwen
DongHyun Seo
35
Sig strikes landed
26
71
Sig strikes attempted
57
48
Total strikes landed
32
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
82s
Control time
89s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kaiwen
"The Underdog"
15-8
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
Road to UFC 2.7
—
W
Road to UFC 2.5 + 2.6
—
W
Road to UFC 2.1 + 2.2
—
Blue corner
DongHyun Seo
"Pinnacle"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35