Main
Middleweight
Mansur Abdul-Malik vs Cody Brundage
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
·State Farm Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Cody Brundage
80%
20%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 8"
72"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
10-1-1
Career record
Δ 27 pp
13-9-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 3
Abdul-Malik: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Brundage: 30 sig / 0 TD
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Cody Brundage
26
Sig strikes landed
16
52
Sig strikes attempted
41
37
Total strikes landed
18
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
115s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
34%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Mansur Abdul-Malik
10-1-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
Blue corner
W1
Cody Brundage
13-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
11 fights · 5-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almab…
—
L
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Ts…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gam…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—