Prelims1
Flyweight
Tagir Ulanbekov vs Azat Maksum
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
·Baku Crystal Hall
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Tagir Ulanbekov
Azat Maksum
67%
33%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
Δ 4y
30
18-3
Career record
Δ 7 pp
15-4
W3
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ulanbekov: 68 sig / 0 TD ·
Maksum: 62 sig / 3 TD
Tagir Ulanbekov
Azat Maksum
48
Sig strikes landed
36
109
Sig strikes attempted
99
69
Total strikes landed
53
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.6
7.0
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
253s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Tagir Ulanbekov
18-3
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
—
W
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
Blue corner
L1
Azat Maksum
"Qazaq"
15-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Im…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—