Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Daria Zhelezniakova vs Melissa Mullins
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
·Baku Crystal Hall
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Daria Zhelezniakova
Melissa Mullins
59%
41%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
29
Age
Δ 4y
34
10-4
Career record
Δ 9 pp
8-2
L1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zhelezniakova: 99 sig / 0 TD ·
Mullins: 64 sig / 3 TD
Daria Zhelezniakova
Melissa Mullins
33
Sig strikes landed
33
58
Sig strikes attempted
63
60
Total strikes landed
74
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.0
0.8
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
111s
Control time
259s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Daria Zhelezniakova
"Iron Lady"
10-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Sa…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Nama…
—
Blue corner
W1
Melissa Mullins
"No Mess"
8-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curt…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—