Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Tecia Pennington vs Luana Pinheiro
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Tecia Pennington
Luana Pinheiro
56%
44%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 2"
62"
36
Age
Δ 3y
32
16-8
Career record
Δ 2 pp
11-6
W1
Current streak
L3
17
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pennington: 63 sig / 0 TD ·
Pinheiro: 40 sig / 5 TD
Tecia Pennington
Luana Pinheiro
69
Sig strikes landed
62
125
Sig strikes attempted
144
97
Total strikes landed
82
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
200s
Control time
81s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tecia Pennington
"Tiny Tornado"
16-8
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
17 fights · 10-7
Last 5
W
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree J…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nasc…
—
L
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
W
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—
Blue corner
L3
Luana Pinheiro
11-6
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prat…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Mu…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—